No matter what happens in Sunday singles at the Presidents Cup, one captain's strategy is going to get criticized.
With the U.S. trailing the Internationals 10.5 to 7.5, International captain Geoff Ogilvy backloaded his lineup in an attempt to dodge many of the Americans' big guns. For a team that's less talented on paper, it sets up a scenario where his best players have the best chance to deliver the five points the Internationals need to win their first Presidents Cup since 1998, and their first road victory in the event's history.
Meanwhile, U.S. captain Brandt Snedeker has drawn fire all week for a myriad of reasons. His Friday foursomes pairings looked reactive to the Thursday fourball results, most notably sending out Justin Thomas, a notorious sprayer of the golf ball, with Cameron Young, likely in place of Chris Gotterup.
Then on Saturday, Snedeker sat Scottie Scheffler for the foursomes session, a move that appeared to surprise the best player in the world when he found out. On top of the benching, Snedeker couldn't remember his own pairings during an NBC interview.
All of this leads us to the singles pairings debacle, which has raised eyebrows beyond Keegan Bradley's heavy involvement.
The Presidents Cup format lets captains engineer advantageous matchups. Because picks alternate, a captain should never lead with his best players, since it lets the other captain dictate who plays your star.
For the U.S., I'd argue those players are Scheffler, Young, Gotterup and Wyndham Clark. Each would be a heavy favorite against any International player. Against a team with a weak bottom of the roster, you want those four matched up with the Internationals' strongest players, then let your superior depth feast on their lack of it.
Instead, three of them are facing arguably three of the four weakest International players. Scheffler drew No. 61 Nico Echavarria, Young is dueling No. 67 Ryo Hisatsune, and Gotterup drew No. 104 Christiaan Bezuidenhout. In each case, Snedeker led with his star, allowing Ogilvy to counter with one of his weakest players. The only marquee International player Snedeker managed to match with a strong American was Tom Kim, who has to catch a flight for the Asian Games, against Clark.
Snedeker's strategy is clear: frontload the lineup. In a Ryder Cup, where singles lineups are submitted blind, that order would have been fine. Here, not deploying your stars against the Internationals' best players was a massive mistake, and it could be the reason the Americans lose the Cup.
On the International side, Ogilvy and his assistant captains have done everything possible to win this year's Presidents Cup by capitalizing on the margins of matchups. That said, with all the American stars out early, it could create a very difficult environment if a red wave rolls in to start the day. You can see the criticism forming: the Internationals should have put more talent out early to protect the momentum they built on Friday and Saturday.
That's Monday morning quarterbacking. Given the talent gap, it shouldn't draw fire, because everything the Internationals have done this week has put them in the best position to win.
